Toulouse vs Le Havre prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Toulouse

46%

Draw

35%

Le Havre

18%

Model favoured Toulouse to win

ToulouseMatch statsLe Havre

53%

Toulouse

Poss
%

47%

Le Havre

14Shots18

5Shots on target7

10Shots inside box12

6Corners7

17Fouls14

3Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

1.1 vs 0.6

Form (last 5)

Toulouse

LLDLD

Le Havre

WLDLD

Head-to-head (last 10)

Toulouse 5W · 2D · 3W Le Havre

League position

Toulouse: 17/18 · Le Havre: 16/18

Toulouse vs Le Havre result & analysis

The match finished Toulouse 3 Le Havre 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Toulouse on a 46% win probability, against 18% for Le Havre and 35% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.1 expected goals (xG) for Toulouse and 0.6 for Le Havre, a profile fitting a cagey, low-scoring game. Toulouse had taken poor form into the game (0W-2D-3L in their last 5). Le Havre had been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Toulouse have won 5, Le Havre 3 and 2 finished level. In the table, Toulouse sat 17/18 and Le Havre 16/18. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.