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1. Lig·Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 11:30
ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
VS
SivassporSivasspor

Ümraniye Belediyesi Sehir Stadi

Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Ümraniyespor
29%
Draw
33%
Sivasspor
38%
Model leans towards Sivasspor to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.2 vs 1.1

Form (last 5)

Ümraniyespor
LLWDW
Sivasspor
DDWDD

Head-to-head (last 7)

Ümraniyespor 3W · 2D · 2W Sivasspor

League position

Ümraniyespor: 15/20 · Sivasspor: 12/20

Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor match preview

Our AI model makes Sivasspor the favourites for this 1. Lig fixture, giving them a 38% chance of victory against 29% for Ümraniyespor and 33% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.2 expected goals (xG) for Ümraniyespor and 1.1 for Sivasspor, pointing towards a moderately open game. Ümraniyespor take mixed form into the game (2W-1D-2L in their last 5). Sivasspor have been poor over the same stretch (1W-4D-0L).

Over their last 7 meetings, Ümraniyespor have won 3, Sivasspor 2 and 2 finished level. In the table, Ümraniyespor sit 15/20 and Sivasspor 12/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor: frequently asked questions

Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor?

Our AI model makes Sivasspor to win the most likely outcome, giving Ümraniyespor a 29% chance, the draw 33% and Sivasspor 38%.

How many goals are expected in Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor?

The model projects 1.2 expected goals for Ümraniyespor and 1.1 for Sivasspor (2.3 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Ümraniyespor and Sivasspor in?

Ümraniyespor are 2W-1D-2L and Sivasspor are 1W-4D-0L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org