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Bundesliga·Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 14:30
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
VS
1. FC Köln1. FC Köln

Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Union Berlin
50%
Draw
26%
1. FC Köln
24%
Model leans towards Union Berlin to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.8 vs 1.0

Form (last 5)

Union Berlin
LLWWD
1. FC Köln
DLDWL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Union Berlin 6W · 3D · 1W 1. FC Köln

League position

Union Berlin: 17/18 · 1. FC Köln: 12/18

Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln match preview

Our AI model makes Union Berlin the favourites for this Bundesliga fixture, giving them a 50% chance of victory against 24% for 1. FC Köln and 26% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.8 expected goals (xG) for Union Berlin and 1.0 for 1. FC Köln, pointing towards a moderately open game. Union Berlin take mixed form into the game (2W-1D-2L in their last 5). 1. FC Köln have been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Union Berlin have won 6, 1. FC Köln 1 and 3 finished level. In the table, Union Berlin sit 17/18 and 1. FC Köln 12/18. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: frequently asked questions

Who will win Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

Our AI model makes Union Berlin to win the most likely outcome, giving Union Berlin a 50% chance, the draw 26% and 1. FC Köln 24%.

How many goals are expected in Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

The model projects 1.8 expected goals for Union Berlin and 1.0 for 1. FC Köln (2.8 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Union Berlin and 1. FC Köln in?

Union Berlin are 2W-1D-2L and 1. FC Köln are 1W-2D-2L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

Latest Union Berlin & 1. FC Köln news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org