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La Liga·Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 20:00
ValenciaValencia
2:3
Real SociedadReal Sociedad

Estadio de Mestalla · Full time

Valencia vs Real Sociedad prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Valencia
29%
Draw
34%
Real Sociedad
36%
Model favoured Real Sociedad to win
ValenciaMatch statsReal Sociedad
54%
Valencia
Poss
%
46%
Real Sociedad
19Shots21
5Shots on target6
11Shots inside box15
7Corners5
9Fouls12
2Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

0.9 vs 1.0

Form (last 5)

Valencia
LLLLW
Real Sociedad
WDWLL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Valencia 3W · 4D · 3W Real Sociedad

League position

Valencia: 19/20 · Real Sociedad: 15/20

Valencia vs Real Sociedad result & analysis

The match finished Valencia 2 Real Sociedad 3. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Real Sociedad on a 36% win probability, against 29% for Valencia and 34% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 0.9 expected goals (xG) for Valencia and 1.0 for Real Sociedad, a profile fitting a cagey, low-scoring game. Valencia had taken poor form into the game (1W-0D-4L in their last 5). Real Sociedad had been mixed over the same stretch (2W-1D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Valencia have won 3, Real Sociedad 3 and 4 finished level. In the table, Valencia sat 19/20 and Real Sociedad 15/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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Valencia vs Real Sociedad: frequently asked questions

Who won Valencia vs Real Sociedad?

Real Sociedad won 3:2. Our AI model had favoured Real Sociedad to win before kickoff.

How many goals were scored in Valencia vs Real Sociedad?

5 in total (Valencia 2, Real Sociedad 3). The model had projected 0.9 and 1.0 expected goals.

What form did Valencia and Real Sociedad take into the match?

Valencia were 1W-0D-4L and Real Sociedad were 2W-1D-2L across their last five matches.

Did the Winotips AI get Valencia vs Real Sociedad right?

Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

Latest Valencia & Real Sociedad news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org