Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Vitoria

65%

Draw

24%

Chapecoense-sc

10%

Model favoured Vitoria to win

VitoriaMatch statsChapecoense-sc

52%

Vitoria

Poss
%

48%

Chapecoense-sc

20Shots10

8Shots on target4

14Shots inside box3

3Corners6

8Fouls17

2Yellow cards3

Expected goals (xG)

1.7 vs 0.6

Form (last 5)

Vitoria

LWDLW

Chapecoense-sc

WLDDL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Vitoria 4W · 3D · 3W Chapecoense-sc

League position

Vitoria: 12/20 · Chapecoense-sc: 20/20

Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc result & analysis

The match finished Vitoria 4 Chapecoense-sc 0. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Vitoria on a 65% win probability, against 10% for Chapecoense-sc and 24% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.7 expected goals (xG) for Vitoria and 0.6 for Chapecoense-sc, a profile fitting a cagey, low-scoring game. Vitoria had taken mixed form into the game (2W-1D-2L in their last 5). Chapecoense-sc had been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Vitoria have won 4, Chapecoense-sc 3 and 3 finished level. In the table, Vitoria sat 12/20 and Chapecoense-sc 20/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

WINOTIPS PRO

Unlock the AI pick for Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc

The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.