UEFA Nations League·Sun, 4 Oct 2026, 19:45
Wales
DenmarkCardiff City Stadium · Full time
Wales vs Denmark prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
WalesDenmark%
Expected goals (xG)
3.7 vs 1.3
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 4)
Wales 0W · 0D · 4W Denmark
Wales vs Denmark result & analysis
The match finished Wales 0 Denmark 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Wales on a 81% win probability, against 8% for Denmark and 11% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
The model had projected 3.7 expected goals (xG) for Wales and 1.3 for Denmark, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Wales had taken poor form into the game (1W-1D-3L in their last 5). Denmark had been mixed over the same stretch (2W-1D-2L).
Over their last 4 meetings, Wales have won 0, Denmark 4 and 0 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.
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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.
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Wales vs Denmark: frequently asked questions
Who won Wales vs Denmark?
Denmark won 1:0. Our AI model had favoured Wales to win before kickoff.
How many goals were scored in Wales vs Denmark?
1 in total (Wales 0, Denmark 1). The model had projected 3.7 and 1.3 expected goals.
What form did Wales and Denmark take into the match?
Wales were 1W-1D-3L and Denmark were 2W-1D-2L across their last five matches.
Did the Winotips AI get Wales vs Denmark right?
Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org