UEFA Nations League·Thu, 1 Oct 2026, 19:45
Wales
NorwayCardiff City Stadium · Full time
Wales vs Norway prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
WalesNorway%
Expected goals (xG)
0.7 vs 2.6
Form (last 5)
Wales vs Norway result & analysis
The match finished Wales 2 Norway 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Norway on a 78% win probability, against 7% for Wales and 16% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
The model had projected 0.7 expected goals (xG) for Wales and 2.6 for Norway, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Wales had taken poor form into the game (0W-2D-3L in their last 5). Norway had been strong over the same stretch (3W-0D-2L).
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Wales vs Norway: frequently asked questions
Who won Wales vs Norway?
Wales won 2:1. Our AI model had favoured Norway to win before kickoff.
How many goals were scored in Wales vs Norway?
3 in total (Wales 2, Norway 1). The model had projected 0.7 and 2.6 expected goals.
What form did Wales and Norway take into the match?
Wales were 0W-2D-3L and Norway were 3W-0D-2L across their last five matches.
Did the Winotips AI get Wales vs Norway right?
Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org