Watford vs Burnley prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Watford

35%

Draw

29%

Burnley

36%

Model favoured Burnley to win

WatfordMatch statsBurnley

52%

Watford

Poss
%

48%

Burnley

14Shots17

6Shots on target8

7Shots inside box12

6Corners2

8Fouls10

0Yellow cards0

Expected goals (xG)

1.4 vs 1.4

Form (last 5)

Watford

LWLLL

Burnley

LDLDW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Watford 1W · 3D · 6W Burnley

League position

Watford: 20/24 · Burnley: 22/24

Watford vs Burnley result & analysis

The match finished Watford 0 Burnley 4. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Burnley on a 36% win probability, against 35% for Watford and 29% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.4 expected goals (xG) for Watford and 1.4 for Burnley, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Watford had taken poor form into the game (1W-0D-4L in their last 5). Burnley had been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Watford have won 1, Burnley 6 and 3 finished level. In the table, Watford sat 20/24 and Burnley 22/24. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

WINOTIPS PRO

Unlock the AI pick for Watford vs Burnley

The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.